Tennis · WTA Courmayeur · 30/10, 12:00
Prediction: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Alina Charaeva
Team pages: Marina Bassols Ribera · Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Marina Bassols Ribera
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Marina Bassols Ribera
8-2 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marina Bassols Ribera
1–2
Alina Charaeva
(3 last)
- 08 May1-2 9-15L
- 23 Oct1-2 11-16L
- 25 Jan2-1 17-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marina Bassols Ribera 1557 · Alina Charaeva 1542
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marina Bassols Ribera 1–2 Alina Charaeva (3).
- Note: Marina Bassols Ribera makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.6 | 12.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Marina Bassols Ribera 1 – 2 Alina Charaeva (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marina Bassols Ribera 1–2 Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/25 W75 Saint-Gaudens | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/10/24 ITF W100 Les Franqueses | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/01/24 W75 Porto | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marina Bassols Ribera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Erika Andreeva WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Lizette Cabrera W100 Wrexham |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Caroline Werner W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Francesca Curmi WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Ida Wobker WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Olivia Nicholls WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Enola Chiesa WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Anna Siskova W100 Wrexham |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Martyna Kubka WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Elena Rybakina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Sofia Kenin WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marina Bassols Ribera vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 59% to Alina Charaeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.