Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 04/11, 14:30

Prediction: Polina Kuharenko vs Chrystal Lopez

Team pages: Polina Kuharenko · Chrystal Lopez

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Polina Kuharenko Chrystal Lopez
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kuharenko 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLWLLL
Chrystal Lopez 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polina Kuharenko 1486 · Chrystal Lopez 1469
Polina KuharenkoChrystal Lopez
Our model52%48%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Polina Kuharenko makes many double faults (6.7/match).
  • Note: Chrystal Lopez makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Polina KuharenkoChrystal Lopez
Win %30%30%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.60.9-1.4
Games (G-P)8.7-12.39.2-10.1
Aces2.70.1
Double faults6.74.1
1st serve %58.2%57.4%
Break %45.1%65.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polina Kuharenko

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Rikke De Koning
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/10 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-17 W
29/10 Alisa Ziatdinova
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
28/10 Alisa Vasileva
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
16/09 Emily Appleton
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Yuliya Perapekhina
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
02/09 Kateryna Diatlova
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
25/08 Cherry Kim
W15 Tianjin
0-2 7-12 L
05/07 Loes Ebeling Koning
W75 The Hague
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Chrystal Lopez

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Liliya Piskun
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/10 Kaat Coppez
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 2-12 L
28/09 Milena Ciocan
W35 Reims
1-2 9-10 L
27/09 Khiara Noel
W35 Reims
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Galatea Ferro
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
1-2 16-17 L
17/06 Tilwith Di Girolami
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/05 Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
22/05 Ilay Yoruk
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
19/05 Albina Kakenova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/04 Francesca Dell'edera
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polina Kuharenko vs Chrystal Lopez?

Our model gives 71% to Polina Kuharenko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.