Tennis · W35 Norman · 27/10, 17:30
Prediction: Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Carolina Gomez
Team pages: Emily Sartz-Lunde · Carolina Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Carolina Gomez
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Sartz-Lunde
4-6 (W-L)
Carolina Gomez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Sartz-Lunde 1549 · Carolina Gomez 1470
| Emily Sartz-Lunde | Carolina Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Sartz-Lunde (rating 1549 vs 1470).
- Emily Sartz-Lunde is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Emily Sartz-Lunde makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Carolina Gomez makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Emily Sartz-Lunde | Carolina Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.8 | 9.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Alice Ferlito W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Sara Milanese W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Carolina Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Zoie Epps W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Carlotta Moccia W35 Baza |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 27/09 | Ainara Fernandez Sanchez W35 Baza |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Carson Tanguilig W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Fiona Crawley W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Katie Lankford W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Annika Penickova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Carolina Gomez?
Our model gives 51% to Emily Sartz-Lunde, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.