Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 28/10, 19:00
Prediction: Thea Frodin vs Xinyu Gao
Team pages: Thea Frodin · Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Thea Frodin
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thea Frodin
7-3 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thea Frodin 1572 · Xinyu Gao 1462
| Thea Frodin | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thea Frodin (rating 1572 vs 1462).
- Thea Frodin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Thea Frodin makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Thea Frodin | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.4 | 8.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 52.8% |
| Break % | 53% | 59.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thea Frodin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Austin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Sloane Stephens W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Reina Goto W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Adriana Reami W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Nadia Elle Valdez W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Shria Atturu W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Austin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W50 Austin |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Panna Udvardy WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Micic W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thea Frodin vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 52% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.