Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 27/10, 19:00
Prediction: James Trotter vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: James Trotter · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
James Trotter
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
James Trotter
6-4 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Trotter 1519 · Maks Kasnikowski 1540
| James Trotter | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- James Trotter dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 42.3% break avg.
Statistics
| James Trotter | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.2 | 10.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 29.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Trotter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Ozan Baris Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 25/10 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Federico Cina Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Liu Ziyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Trotter vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 60% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.