Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 27/10, 22:00
Prediction: Timo Legout vs Valentin Royer
Team pages: Timo Legout · Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Timo Legout
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Timo Legout
8-2 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timo Legout 1596 · Valentin Royer 1477
| Timo Legout | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timo Legout (rating 1596 vs 1477).
- Timo Legout is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Timo Legout | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.8 | 12.2-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Edward Winter Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Adam Walton ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timo Legout vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 54% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.