Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 27/10, 22:00
Prediction: Sebastian Dominko vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Sebastian Dominko · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Dominko
Karl Poling
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Dominko
7-3 (W-L)
Karl Poling
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Dominko 1597 · Karl Poling 1507
| Sebastian Dominko | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1597 vs 1507).
- Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 43.6% break avg.
- Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sebastian Dominko | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.6 | 11.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Dominko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Justin Boulais Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Daniel Masur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Jiri Cizek M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/09 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Marko Bekeni M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Petr Michnev M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Ben Weintraub Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Maxwell Exsted Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Dominko vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 68% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.