Tennis · W35 Norman · 28/10, 20:00
Prediction: Yuliya Hatouka vs Jenna Defalco
Team pages: Yuliya Hatouka · Jenna Defalco
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuliya Hatouka
Jenna Defalco
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yuliya Hatouka
5-5 (W-L)
Jenna Defalco
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuliya Hatouka 1581 · Jenna Defalco 1518
| Yuliya Hatouka | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuliya Hatouka (rating 1581 vs 1518).
- Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Yuliya Hatouka | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.8 | 10.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 69.3% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuliya Hatouka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Maria Kononova W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Antonina Sushkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Jade Groen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/10 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/09 | Maria Golovina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/09 | Mara Guth W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
Jenna Defalco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Hanna Chang W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Lan Mi W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Jana Hossam Salah W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/10 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Redding |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 13/10 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Redding |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Janae Preston W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ekaterina Maklakova W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Arina Bulatova W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuliya Hatouka vs Jenna Defalco?
Our model gives 59% to Yuliya Hatouka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.