Tennis · W35 Norman · 27/10, 20:00
Prediction: Julia Adams vs Merna Refaat
Team pages: Julia Adams · Merna Refaat
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Adams
Merna Refaat
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Adams
7-3 (W-L)
Merna Refaat
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Adams 1556 · Merna Refaat 1549
| Julia Adams | Merna Refaat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Merna Refaat makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Julia Adams | Merna Refaat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.2 | 10.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Adams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Diae El Jardi W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Darya Velikova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Daria Kuczer W50 Pazardzhik |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/09 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Radom |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/09 | Anna Kmiecik W15 Radom |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Sara Husar W15 Radom |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Merna Refaat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Olivia Lincer W50 Austin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Alexandra Vagramov W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Carlota Moreno W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Sophia Webster W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Alice Soulie W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/11 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Austin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Cristina R Sierra W50 Austin |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/11 | Katherine Sebov W50 Austin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/11 | Mia Kupres W50 Austin |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Adams vs Merna Refaat?
Our model gives 58% to Merna Refaat.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.