Tennis · W35 Norman · 28/10, 20:00
Prediction: Reina Goto vs Aspen Schuman
Team pages: Reina Goto · Aspen Schuman
Prediction summary
Winner
Reina Goto
Aspen Schuman
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Reina Goto
4-6 (W-L)
Aspen Schuman
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reina Goto 1446 · Aspen Schuman 1519
| Reina Goto | Aspen Schuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aspen Schuman (rating 1446 vs 1519).
- Aspen Schuman is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Aspen Schuman makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Reina Goto | Aspen Schuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-12.2 | 10.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reina Goto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Thea Frodin W50 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Martina Okalova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Kate Fakih W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Johanne C Svendsen W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Aspen Schuman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Helena Bueno W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 17/07 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Denise Valente W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Eva Lopez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reina Goto vs Aspen Schuman?
Our model gives 51% to Aspen Schuman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.