Tennis · W35 Norman · 27/10, 16:00
Prediction: Gloriana Nahum vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Team pages: Gloriana Nahum · Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Prediction summary
Winner
Gloriana Nahum
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gloriana Nahum
8-2 (W-L)
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gloriana Nahum 1607 · Mathilde Ngijol Carre 1461
| Gloriana Nahum | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloriana Nahum (rating 1607 vs 1461).
- Gloriana Nahum is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Mathilde Ngijol Carre makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Gloriana Nahum | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-5.5 | 8.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gloriana Nahum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Emira Diabate Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Mekedes Shumet Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Phuthi Mohau Leshoele Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sophie Williams W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Claire An UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Ella Mcdonald W50 Austin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Salma Drugdova W35 Redding |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Stefani Webb W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Charlotte Narti W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Ekaterina Agureeva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Gloria De Santis W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gloriana Nahum vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Our model gives 68% to Gloriana Nahum, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.