Tennis · W15 Sumter · 27/10, 15:00
Prediction: Lena Thomas Iglesias vs Amelie Smejkalova
Team pages: Lena Thomas Iglesias · Amelie Smejkalova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lena Thomas Iglesias
Amelie Smejkalova
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lena Thomas Iglesias
5-5 (W-L)
Amelie Smejkalova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lena Thomas Iglesias 1491 · Amelie Smejkalova 1522
| Lena Thomas Iglesias | Amelie Smejkalova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lena Thomas Iglesias | Amelie Smejkalova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-8.1 | 10.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lena Thomas Iglesias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Jade Bornay W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Thalya Le Runigo W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Cecilie Agerbek Fridthjof W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Emira Diabate W35 Nice |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Aisling O'Connor W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Viola Bedini W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Emma Fantusis W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Amelie Smejkalova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justine Bretnacher W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Melisa Ercan W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Arina Yakusheva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 15/11 | Bella Payne ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/11 | Emma Charney ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lena Thomas Iglesias vs Amelie Smejkalova?
Our model gives 62% to Amelie Smejkalova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.