Tennis · W15 Sumter · 27/10, 16:30

Prediction: Chiara Di Genova vs Daria Koreshkova

Team pages: Chiara Di Genova

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Chiara Di Genova Daria Koreshkova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Chiara Di Genova 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWWL
Daria Koreshkova 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiara Di Genova 1468 · Daria Koreshkova 1539
Chiara Di GenovaDaria Koreshkova
Our model40%60%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Koreshkova (rating 1468 vs 1539).

Statistics

Chiara Di GenovaDaria Koreshkova
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 20% (5) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.31.3-1
Games (G-P)8-10.911-9.1
Aces11.6
Double faults3.13.4
1st serve %53.3%63.2%
Break %41.7%42.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiara Di Genova

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Ashton Bowers
W15 Nashville
0-2 4-12 L
01/10 Valeria Ray
W15 Nashville
2-0 12-6 W
30/09 Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W15 Nashville
2-1 16-13 W
29/09 Trinetra Vijayakumar
W15 Nashville
2-0 14-12 W
13/09 Sarah Mildren
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/09 Stefani Webb
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Julia Zhu
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/09 Alice Soulie
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Lisa Kamigata
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 4-12 L

Daria Koreshkova

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Tanvi Pandey
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/10 Veronika Miroshnichenko
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
14/10 Tricia Mar
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
14/10 Elena Goodman
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
12/10 Brandy Walker
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
28/05 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/05 Lavinia Guerresco
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Nita Skhiladze
W15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
18/05 Vasilisa Taranova
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Joody Elkady
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiara Di Genova vs Daria Koreshkova?

Our model gives 50% to Chiara Di Genova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.