Tennis · UTR Pro Philadelphia · 30/10, 16:00
Prediction: Vojtech Vales vs Tarek Erlewein
Team pages: Vojtech Vales · Tarek Erlewein
Prediction summary
Winner
Vojtech Vales
Tarek Erlewein
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Vojtech Vales
7-3 (W-L)
Tarek Erlewein
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vojtech Vales 1522 · Tarek Erlewein 1445
| Vojtech Vales | Tarek Erlewein | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vojtech Vales (rating 1522 vs 1445).
- Vojtech Vales is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Vojtech Vales | Tarek Erlewein | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11 | 10-12.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vojtech Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Parashar Bharadwaj UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Felipe Pinzon Moreno UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Asier Ayllon Prado UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Elijah Poritzky UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Patrik Meszaros UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Martin UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Tarek Erlewein
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Parashar Bharadwaj UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Vito Tonejc M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 06/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Mikkel Zinder UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Henry Ren UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/12 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vojtech Vales vs Tarek Erlewein?
Our model gives 66% to Vojtech Vales, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.