Tennis · UTR Pro Philadelphia · 31/10, 18:00
Prediction: Tarek Erlewein vs Zaid Mashni
Team pages: Tarek Erlewein · Zaid Mashni
Prediction summary
Winner
Tarek Erlewein
Zaid Mashni
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tarek Erlewein
7-3 (W-L)
Zaid Mashni
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tarek Erlewein 1479 · Zaid Mashni 1520
| Tarek Erlewein | Zaid Mashni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zaid Mashni (rating 1479 vs 1520).
- Zaid Mashni is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Zaid Mashni makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Tarek Erlewein | Zaid Mashni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.9 | 10.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 68% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tarek Erlewein
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Vojtech Vales UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Parashar Bharadwaj UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Vito Tonejc M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 06/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Mikkel Zinder UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Henry Ren UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Zaid Mashni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | James Lorenzetti UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Harrison Kemp UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Chase Robinson UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/10 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Abdulaziz Usmonjonov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Jaden Dewandaka Tan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eric Jr. Olivarez Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Kase Schinnerer UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Santiago Padilla Cote UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tarek Erlewein vs Zaid Mashni?
Our model gives 58% to Zaid Mashni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.