Tennis · UTR Pro Philadelphia · 29/10, 21:10
Prediction: Elijah Cham vs Tarek Erlewein
Team pages: Elijah Cham · Tarek Erlewein
Prediction summary
Winner
Elijah Cham
Tarek Erlewein
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elijah Cham
9-1 (W-L)
Tarek Erlewein
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elijah Cham 1610 · Tarek Erlewein 1405
| Elijah Cham | Tarek Erlewein | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elijah Cham (rating 1610 vs 1405).
- Elijah Cham is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Elijah Cham | Tarek Erlewein | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 0.6-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.7 | 9.5-13 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elijah Cham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Vojtech Vales UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Gianluca Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Daniel Salazar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Jake Dembo UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Tarek Erlewein
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Parashar Bharadwaj UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Vito Tonejc M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 06/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Mikkel Zinder UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Henry Ren UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/12 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Hayden Snyder UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elijah Cham vs Tarek Erlewein?
Our model gives 77% to Elijah Cham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.