Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 27/10, 17:00

Prediction: Maria Kononova vs Josephine Kunz

Team pages: Maria Kononova · Josephine Kunz

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Maria Kononova Josephine Kunz
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Kononova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLWL
Josephine Kunz 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Kononova 1499 · Josephine Kunz 1439
Maria KononovaJosephine Kunz
Our model59%41%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Kononova (rating 1499 vs 1439).
  • Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Josephine Kunz makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Maria KononovaJosephine Kunz
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay – 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.8-1.6
Games (G-P)10.2-10.68.3-10.7
Aces20.3
Double faults54.2
1st serve %61.5%52.2%
Break %44.9%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Kononova

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Ema Burgic
W100 New Braunfels
2-1 14-10 W
18/10 Yuliya Hatouka
W50 Austin
1-2 11-16 L
05/10 Eva Maria Ionescu
W50 Lexington
0-2 8-13 L
29/07 Julia Zhu
W75 Lexington
1-2 11-17 L
28/07 Sophie Llewellyn
W75 Lexington
2-0 13-8 W
27/07 Aisha Merchant
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-0 W
22/07 Kate Fakih
W35 Santa Fe
0-2 0-12 L
21/07 Anna Grigoreva
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Christasha McNeil
W35 Dallas
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Elena Mireles
W35 Dallas
2-1 17-14 W

Josephine Kunz

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Alize Lim
W100 New Braunfels
2-1 13-9 W
21/07 Beatrice Stagno
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Aurora Corvi
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Milica Stosovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Dune Vaissaud
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L
15/06 Elena Grekul
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
09/06 Leonie Schuknecht
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
1-2 9-9 L
14/05 Ksenia Laskutova
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Agustina Soto Neira
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
06/05 Maddalena Giordano
W15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Kononova vs Josephine Kunz?

Our model gives 62% to Maria Kononova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.