Tennis · W75 Glasgow · 27/10, 11:00

Prediction: Kate Gardiner vs Fiona Crawley

Team pages: Kate Gardiner · Fiona Crawley

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Kate Gardiner Fiona Crawley
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Gardiner 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWW
Fiona Crawley 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kate Gardiner 1503 · Fiona Crawley 1537
Kate GardinerFiona Crawley
Our model45%55%
Market6%94%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kate Gardiner makes many double faults (7.9/match).
  • Note: Fiona Crawley makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Kate GardinerFiona Crawley
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.3-1.3
Games (G-P)8.7-8.912.4-12.2
Aces1.31.1
Double faults7.95
1st serve %63.5%59.4%
Break %45.2%44.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kate Gardiner

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Amelie Brooks
W75 Glasgow
2-0 12-2 W
25/10 Lily Hutchings
W75 Glasgow
2-1 11-13 W
18/10 Salma Djoubri
W50 Cherbourg
0-2 5-12 L
12/10 Lois Newberry
W35 Birmingham
0-2 6-13 L
11/10 Mio Kijima
W35 Birmingham
2-0 12-2 W
27/07 Jodie Anna Burrage
W50 Dublin
0-2 6-13 L
26/07 Ginevra Montebruno
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Amy Zhu
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/06 Abigeyle Bhopal
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/06 Gabriella Davydov
UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Fiona Crawley

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Hannah Klugman
W100 Wrexham
0-2 4-12 L
09/10 Ayla Aksu
WTA Samsun · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
07/10 Oksana Selekhmeteva
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
05/10 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/09 Elena Pridankina
WTA Adana · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
28/09 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/09 Lois Boisson
WTA Adana · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
26/09 Adelina Lachinova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
22/09 Carole Monnet
WTA Ankara · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
20/09 Anna Siskova
W75 Le Neubourg
1-2 14-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kate Gardiner vs Fiona Crawley?

Our model gives 77% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.