Tennis · W75 Glasgow · 30/10, 11:00
Prediction: Alicia Dudeney vs Mona Barthel
Team pages: Alicia Dudeney · Mona Barthel
Prediction summary
Winner
Alicia Dudeney
Mona Barthel
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alicia Dudeney
9-1 (W-L)
Mona Barthel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alicia Dudeney 1600 · Mona Barthel 1536
| Alicia Dudeney | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Dudeney (rating 1600 vs 1536).
- Alicia Dudeney is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Mona Barthel makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alicia Dudeney | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.9 | 11.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alicia Dudeney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Ivana Sebestova W75 Glasgow |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W75 Glasgow |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Elsa Jacquemot W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Susan Bandecchi W100 Wrexham |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Manon Leonard W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Mika Stojsavljevic W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Daniella Britton W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Marie Weckerle W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mona Barthel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Glasgow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Lois Newberry W75 Glasgow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Rebecca Sramkova W100 Wrexham |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/10 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Radka Zelnickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alicia Dudeney vs Mona Barthel?
Our model gives 56% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.