Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 27/10, 14:00
Prediction: Mark Ceban vs Mika Petkovic
Team pages: Mika Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Ceban
Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Ceban
6-4 (W-L)
Mika Petkovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Ceban 1527 · Mika Petkovic 1575
| Mark Ceban | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Petkovic (rating 1527 vs 1575).
Statistics
| Mark Ceban | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.1 | 12.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 60.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Ceban
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | George Loffhagen M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Lui Maxted M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/08 | George Loffhagen M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Charlie Robertson M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Luke Hooper M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Henry Jefferson M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Billy Blaydes M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Jelle Sels M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | David Eichenseher M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Julien Penzlin M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Jakub Kusy M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Ceban vs Mika Petkovic?
Our model gives 67% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.