Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 27/10, 12:30

Prediction: James Beaven vs Rhys Lawlor

Team pages: James Beaven · Rhys Lawlor

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
James Beaven Rhys Lawlor
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
James Beaven 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWWW
Rhys Lawlor 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · James Beaven 1510 · Rhys Lawlor 1467
James BeavenRhys Lawlor
Our model56%44%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Beaven (rating 1510 vs 1467).
  • Note: Rhys Lawlor makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

James BeavenRhys Lawlor
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-10.9-1.5
Games (G-P)10.4-8.410.8-12.7
Aces34
Double faults2.66
1st serve %73.6%64.7%
Break %35.3%45.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

James Beaven

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M25 Sheffield
2-0 13-9 W
25/10 Younes Jenkins
M25 Sheffield
2-0 12-5 W
18/10 Antoine Walch
M25 Sarreguemines
1-2 11-8 L
13/10 Tim Handel
M15 Offenbach
0-2 8-13 L
12/10 Xavi Matas Ortega
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-5 W
11/10 Paulo Knippling
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-0 W
02/08 Vincent Fletcher
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
29/07 Giulio Perego
M25 Aldershot
1-2 13-18 L
15/07 Giulio Perego
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/07 Ronan Tashinga Mtisi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Rhys Lawlor

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Redbridge
1-2 16-19 L
16/08 Nicolas Tepmahc
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 Lui Maxted
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
03/08 Vincent Fletcher
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
02/08 William Mclennaghan
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 James Story
M25 Aldershot
1-2 13-18 L
13/06 James McCabe
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Anton Matusevich
M25 Nottingham
0-2 8-13 L
01/05 Patrick Zahraj
M25 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
30/04 Ali Habib
M25 Nottingham
2-1 18-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in James Beaven vs Rhys Lawlor?

Our model gives 53% to Rhys Lawlor, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.