Tennis · W75 Glasgow · 28/10, 11:00
Prediction: Valentina Steiner vs Mariam Bolkvadze
Team pages: Valentina Steiner · Mariam Bolkvadze
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Steiner
Mariam Bolkvadze
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Steiner
5-5 (W-L)
Mariam Bolkvadze
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Steiner 1490 · Mariam Bolkvadze 1548
| Valentina Steiner | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariam Bolkvadze (rating 1490 vs 1548).
- Mariam Bolkvadze is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Valentina Steiner makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Steiner | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.3 | 12-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Steiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Anna Burchak W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Katie Swan WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Caroline Werner WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Kylie Collins WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Jessica Pieri W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Federica Sacco W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mariam Bolkvadze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Harmony Tan W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Francisca Jorge W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Alya Naz Altinel WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alevtina Ibragimova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Steiner vs Mariam Bolkvadze?
Our model gives 70% to Mariam Bolkvadze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.