Prediction: Mara Guth vs Chelsea Fontenel
Team pages: Mara Guth · Chelsea Fontenel
Prediction summary
Winner
Mara Guth
Chelsea Fontenel
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mara Guth
5-5 (W-L)
Chelsea Fontenel
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mara Guth
1–0
Chelsea Fontenel
(1 last)
- 15 Jul2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mara Guth 1568 · Chelsea Fontenel 1449
| Mara Guth | Chelsea Fontenel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mara Guth (rating 1568 vs 1449).
- Mara Guth is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mara Guth 1–0 Chelsea Fontenel (1).
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Chelsea Fontenel makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mara Guth | Chelsea Fontenel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9 | 11.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 63% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Mara Guth 1 – 0 Chelsea Fontenel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mara Guth 1–0 Chelsea Fontenel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/24 ITF W35 Darmstadt | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mara Guth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Anna Sedysheva W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Margarita Betova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Valentina Ryser W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Margaux Komano W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Chelsea Fontenel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 14/10 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Valentina Losciale W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Elza Tomase W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Maddalena Giordano W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Sabastiani Leon W50 Evora |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Francisca Jorge W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Mary Lewis W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mara Guth vs Chelsea Fontenel?
Our model gives 69% to Mara Guth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.