Tennis · W35 Malta · 30/10, 12:30
Prediction: Federica Urgesi vs Angelica Raggi
Team pages: Federica Urgesi · Angelica Raggi
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Urgesi
Angelica Raggi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Urgesi
8-2 (W-L)
Angelica Raggi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federica Urgesi
1–0
Angelica Raggi
(1 last)
- 18 Oct2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Urgesi 1590 · Angelica Raggi 1560
| Federica Urgesi | Angelica Raggi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Federica Urgesi 1–0 Angelica Raggi (1).
- Note: Federica Urgesi makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Angelica Raggi makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Federica Urgesi | Angelica Raggi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.5 | 11-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Federica Urgesi 1 – 0 Angelica Raggi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federica Urgesi 1–0 Angelica Raggi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 W35 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Urgesi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Malta |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Malta |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/10 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Carmen Lopez Martinez W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Min Liu W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Iva Ivanova W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Andreya Glushkova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Iva Ivanova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Angelica Raggi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Maryia Magro W35 Malta |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Lucie Petruzelova W35 Malta |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Iva Ivanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Isabel Skoog W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/09 | Marta Lombardini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Urgesi vs Angelica Raggi?
Our model gives 71% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.