Tennis · WTA Courmayeur · 27/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Isabella Maria Serban
Team pages: Lucrezia Stefanini · Isabella Maria Serban
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucrezia Stefanini
Isabella Maria Serban
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lucrezia Stefanini
5-5 (W-L)
Isabella Maria Serban
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucrezia Stefanini 1561 · Isabella Maria Serban 1487
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Isabella Maria Serban | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1561 vs 1487).
Statistics
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Isabella Maria Serban | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.9 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 51.6% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Harmony Tan WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Laura Mair WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Carole Monnet WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Isabella Maria Serban
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Zongyu Li WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Britt Du Pree W35 Reims |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Marie Weckerle W35 Reims |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Madelief Hageman W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Amy Sucha W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Laetitia Pulchartova W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucrezia Stefanini vs Isabella Maria Serban?
Our model gives 75% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.