Tennis · WTA Courmayeur · 27/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
Team pages: Mia Ristic · Martyna Kubka
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Ristic
Martyna Kubka
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Ristic
4-6 (W-L)
Martyna Kubka
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Ristic 1500 · Martyna Kubka 1499
| Mia Ristic | Martyna Kubka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mia Ristic | Martyna Kubka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.2 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 62% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Jessica Pieri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Arantxa Rus WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Colmegna WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Martyna Kubka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Dominika Salkova WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Ksenia Efremova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Manon Leonard W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Carson Tanguilig W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Jana Otzipka W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka?
Our model gives 58% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.