Tennis · WTA Courmayeur · 27/10, 10:00
Prediction: Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska
Team pages: Laura Mair · Katarina Zavatska
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Mair
Katarina Zavatska
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Mair
6-4 (W-L)
Katarina Zavatska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Mair 1499 · Katarina Zavatska 1558
| Laura Mair | Katarina Zavatska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katarina Zavatska (rating 1499 vs 1558).
- Katarina Zavatska is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Laura Mair makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Laura Mair | Katarina Zavatska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.8 | 11.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Mair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Angela Fita Boluda W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Tian Jialin W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Enola Chiesa W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Varna |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Eleonora Toneva W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Katarina Zavatska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Harmony Tan W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Manon Leonard W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/10 | Veronika Podrez W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Liv Boulard W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Amandine Monnot W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/10 | Renata Zarazua WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Yushan Shao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska?
Our model gives 72% to Katarina Zavatska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.