Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 26/10, 18:10
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta
Team pages: Spencer Johnson · Tomasz Berkieta
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Tomasz Berkieta
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
5-5 (W-L)
Tomasz Berkieta
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1502 · Tomasz Berkieta 1479
| Spencer Johnson | Tomasz Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tomasz Berkieta makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Tomasz Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.9 | 9.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 23.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Jonah Braswell Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Jakub Vrba Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Jan Kobierski Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Vignesh Gogineni Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Tomasz Berkieta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Nicolas Arseneault M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra M25 Austin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dominik Kellovsky Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta?
Our model gives 64% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.