Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 26/10, 14:00
Prediction: Conor Brady vs William Nolan
Team pages: Conor Brady · William Nolan
Prediction summary
Winner
Conor Brady
William Nolan
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Conor Brady
8-2 (W-L)
William Nolan
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Conor Brady 1531 · William Nolan 1485
| Conor Brady | William Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Conor Brady (rating 1531 vs 1485).
Statistics
| Conor Brady | William Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.9 | 8.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Conor Brady
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Matthew Carroll M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Billy Blaydes M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Toby Clarke M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jack McGary M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Roan Jones M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Samuel Constantinou M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Tyler Stice M25 Nottingham |
1-1 | 11-8 | W |
William Nolan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Joseph Newman-Billington M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Nikolaos Chatziavraam M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 16/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Arman Zamani M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Alfie King M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 03/05 | Georgios Nouchakis M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Conor Brady vs William Nolan?
Our model gives 58% to Conor Brady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.