Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 26/10, 17:00
Prediction: Gavin Young vs Daniil Ostapenkov
Team pages: Gavin Young · Daniil Ostapenkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Gavin Young
Daniil Ostapenkov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gavin Young
3-7 (W-L)
Daniil Ostapenkov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gavin Young 1509 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1521
| Gavin Young | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gavin Young | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.3 | 10.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Duncan Chan Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/10 | James Trotter Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | William Manning Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jack Anthrop M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Daniil Ostapenkov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Ilija Palavestra Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Gus Grumet Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gavin Young vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Our model gives 53% to Gavin Young, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.