Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 26/10, 17:00
Prediction: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj
Team pages: Karl Poling · Patrick Zahraj
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Poling
Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Poling
5-5 (W-L)
Patrick Zahraj
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karl Poling
0–3
Patrick Zahraj
(3 last)
- 27 Sept1-2 11-15L
- 22 Mar0-2 9-13L
- 11 Nov0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Poling 1442 · Patrick Zahraj 1517
| Karl Poling | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Zahraj (rating 1442 vs 1517).
- Head-to-head: Karl Poling 0–3 Patrick Zahraj (3).
Statistics
| Karl Poling | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.8 | 10.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 26.8% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Karl Poling 0 – 3 Patrick Zahraj (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karl Poling 0–3 Patrick Zahraj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Challenger Mouilleron le Captif | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/03/26 Challenger Morelia | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/11/24 Challenger Drummondville | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Maxwell Exsted Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Patrick Zahraj
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Govind Nanda Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj?
Our model gives 55% to Patrick Zahraj, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.