Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce Nakashima
Team pages: Jenson Brooksby · Bryce Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Jenson Brooksby
Bryce Nakashima
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jenson Brooksby
4-6 (W-L)
Bryce Nakashima
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jenson Brooksby 1575 · Bryce Nakashima 1556
| Jenson Brooksby | Bryce Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Bryce Nakashima dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 43.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Jenson Brooksby | Bryce Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-11.7 | 13.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jenson Brooksby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Timo Legout Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Sebastian Baez ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Jaime Faria US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
Bryce Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Preston Stearns M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Jack Anthrop M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce Nakashima?
Our model gives 70% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.