Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Sebastian Gorzny · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
6-4 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1532 · Darwin Blanch 1610
| Sebastian Gorzny | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darwin Blanch (rating 1532 vs 1610).
- Sebastian Gorzny dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 49.8% break avg.
- Darwin Blanch dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 44% break avg.
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-11.5 | 12.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Edward Winter M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 21/09 | Aidan Mayo Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Andrew Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 60% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.