Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Dylan Dietrich vs Colton Smith
Team pages: Dylan Dietrich · Colton Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Dylan Dietrich
Colton Smith
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dylan Dietrich
10-0 (W-L)
Colton Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dylan Dietrich 1624 · Colton Smith 1475
| Dylan Dietrich | Colton Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dylan Dietrich (rating 1624 vs 1475).
- Dylan Dietrich dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 43.1% break avg.
- Dylan Dietrich is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dylan Dietrich | Colton Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.4 | 12.7-13 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dylan Dietrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Dinko Dinev Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Colton Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Duncan Chan Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Jerome Kym US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Andrea Pellegrino US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Felix Gill Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dylan Dietrich vs Colton Smith?
Our model gives 65% to Dylan Dietrich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.