Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 27/10, 17:00

Prediction: Andres Martin vs Kaylan Bigun

Team pages: Andres Martin · Kaylan Bigun

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Andres Martin Kaylan Bigun
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Martin 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLLLLW
Kaylan Bigun 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andres Martin 1461 · Kaylan Bigun 1511
Andres MartinKaylan Bigun
Our model43%57%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaylan Bigun (rating 1461 vs 1511).

Statistics

Andres MartinKaylan Bigun
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.51.2-1.1
Games (G-P)13.4-12.710.8-10.5
Aces3.94.9
Double faults2.83.4
1st serve %68.9%66.2%
Break %42.3%35.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andres Martin

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Erik Arutiunian
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
27/09 Oliver Okonkwo
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
23/09 Keaton Hance
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
27/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
26/08 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
25/08 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
11/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
07/08 Spencer Johnson
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
07/08 Millen Hurrion
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
05/08 Nicolas Arseneault
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Kaylan Bigun

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
20/10 Trevor Svajda
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/10 Patrick Zahraj
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/10 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
13/10 Li Tu
M25 Austin
0-2 8-13 L
30/09 Keegan Smith
Challenger Columbus · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
28/09 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Noah Zamora
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/09 Andrew Fenty
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
14/09 Bryce Nakashima
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
0-2 5-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andres Martin vs Kaylan Bigun?

Our model gives 51% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.