Tennis · W35 Bakersfield · 25/10, 21:00
Prediction: Jenna Defalco vs Hanna Chang
Team pages: Jenna Defalco · Hanna Chang
Prediction summary
Winner
Jenna Defalco
Hanna Chang
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Jenna Defalco
7-3 (W-L)
Hanna Chang
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jenna Defalco
0–2
Hanna Chang
(2 last)
- 03 Jan0-2 2-12L
- 14 Jan0-2 3-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jenna Defalco 1545 · Hanna Chang 1554
| Jenna Defalco | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jenna Defalco 0–2 Hanna Chang (2).
- Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Hanna Chang makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Jenna Defalco | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.3 | 10.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Jenna Defalco 0 – 2 Hanna Chang (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jenna Defalco 0–2 Hanna Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/23 ITF W25 Malibu | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/01/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series California Women | 0-2 | 3-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jenna Defalco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Lan Mi W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Jana Hossam Salah W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/10 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Redding |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 13/10 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Redding |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Janae Preston W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ekaterina Maklakova W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Arina Bulatova W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Anita Sahdiieva W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Hanna Chang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Connie Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Salma Drugdova W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Nika Hurkacz W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Janae Preston W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Mary Stoiana W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alina Shcherbinina W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jenna Defalco vs Hanna Chang?
Our model gives 65% to Hanna Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.