Tennis · W35 Bakersfield · 21/10, 16:00
Prediction: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lea Ma
Team pages: Allegra Korpanec Davies · Lea Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Allegra Korpanec Davies
Lea Ma
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Allegra Korpanec Davies
4-6 (W-L)
Lea Ma
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Allegra Korpanec Davies 1467 · Lea Ma 1564
| Allegra Korpanec Davies | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lea Ma (rating 1467 vs 1564).
- Lea Ma is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Allegra Korpanec Davies | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.4 | 11.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 30% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Allegra Korpanec Davies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Kate Fakih W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/08 | Ayla Aksu W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Emily Eigelsbach W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Cindy Langlais W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Viktoria Veleva W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Lea Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Connie Ma W35 Redding |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 17/10 | Salma Drugdova W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Sydney Jara W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Juliana Singeorzan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Hina Inoue W50 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Linea Bajraliu W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Victoria Hu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lea Ma?
Our model gives 78% to Lea Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.