Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 25/10, 20:30

Prediction: Timo Legout vs Daniel De Jonge

Team pages: Timo Legout · Daniel De Jonge

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Timo Legout Daniel De Jonge
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Timo Legout 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWL
Daniel De Jonge 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Timo Legout 1547 · Daniel De Jonge 1500
Timo LegoutDaniel De Jonge
Our model57%43%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timo Legout (rating 1547 vs 1500).
  • Daniel De Jonge dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 41.4% break avg.

Statistics

Timo LegoutDaniel De Jonge
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.1-1
Games (G-P)12.5-10.310.1-9.2
Aces0.96.8
Double faults2.83.3
1st serve %64%72.7%
Break %46.9%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Timo Legout

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Jenson Brooksby
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/10 Edward Winter
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/10 Zsombor Velcz
M25 Austin
1-2 11-12 L
26/09 Igor Marcondes
Challenger San Diego · Hard
1-2 17-20 L
25/09 Tristan Boyer
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
24/09 Colton Smith
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
21/09 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/09 Darian King
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
17/09 Bryce Nakashima
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Daniel De Jonge

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Ugo Blanchet
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/10 Maxime Janvier
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/09 Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach
0-2 5-12 L
24/09 Moritz Hoffmann
M15 Forbach
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Noah Thurner
M15 Forbach
2-0 12-4 W
14/09 Daniel Masur
Challenger Rennes · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
13/09 Luca Sanchez
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
09/09 Adan Freire Da Silva
M25 Plaisir
0-2 5-12 L
15/08 Robert Strombachs
M15 Warsaw
0-2 5-12 L
12/08 Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Timo Legout vs Daniel De Jonge?

Our model gives 70% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.