Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 25/10, 17:30

Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Gavin Young

Team pages: Kenta Miyoshi · Gavin Young

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Kenta Miyoshi Gavin Young
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Miyoshi 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWLWWWL
Gavin Young 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1481 · Gavin Young 1482
Kenta MiyoshiGavin Young
Our model50%50%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Kenta MiyoshiGavin Young
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31-1.4
Games (G-P)12.7-13.710.6-12.1
Aces44.1
Double faults2.52.6
1st serve %67%67%
Break %39.7%40.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kenta Miyoshi

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Patrick Maloney
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
1-2 13-19 L
20/10 Murphy Cassone
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
19/10 Sander Jong
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
18/10 Keshav Chopra
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/09 Lloyd Harris
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
16/09 Philip Sekulic
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
14/09 Moerani Bouzige
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
10/09 Filip Peliwo
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/09 Moise Kouame
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
22/08 Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 10-16 L

Gavin Young

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Alex Rybakov
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/10 Duncan Chan
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
18/10 James Trotter
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
14/10 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 Lexington
0-2 7-12 L
10/08 Edward Winter
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
09/08 William Manning
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Soonwoo Kwon
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/07 Jack Anthrop
M25 Edwardsville
1-2 14-16 L
29/07 Cooper Woestendick
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-8 W
20/07 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 15-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Gavin Young?

Our model gives 58% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.