Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 25/10, 19:00
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Jonah Braswell
Team pages: Spencer Johnson · Jonah Braswell
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Jonah Braswell
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
4-6 (W-L)
Jonah Braswell
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1480 · Jonah Braswell 1498
| Spencer Johnson | Jonah Braswell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Jonah Braswell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.9 | 10.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Jakub Vrba Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Jan Kobierski Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Vignesh Gogineni Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Jonah Braswell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Milos Mikovic M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Austin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 02/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Jordan Lee M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Alexander Frusina M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Novak Novakovic M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Greyson Casey UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Jonah Braswell?
Our model gives 63% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.