Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 25/10, 23:30
Prediction: Benjamin Willwerth vs Duncan Chan
Team pages: Benjamin Willwerth · Duncan Chan
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Willwerth
Duncan Chan
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Willwerth
7-3 (W-L)
Duncan Chan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Willwerth 1544 · Duncan Chan 1473
| Benjamin Willwerth | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Willwerth (rating 1544 vs 1473).
- Benjamin Willwerth is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Duncan Chan makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Willwerth | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-7.8 | 11.5-13 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Willwerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Jack Secord M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Noah Zamora M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Micah Braswell M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Tyler Zink M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Hugo Coquelin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 4-7 | L |
| 20/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Damien Salvestre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Denis Petak Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Willwerth vs Duncan Chan?
Our model gives 53% to Duncan Chan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.