Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 25/10, 23:30
Prediction: Justin Boulais vs Sebastian Dominko
Team pages: Justin Boulais · Sebastian Dominko
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Boulais
Sebastian Dominko
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Boulais
3-7 (W-L)
Sebastian Dominko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Boulais 1454 · Sebastian Dominko 1563
| Justin Boulais | Sebastian Dominko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1454 vs 1563).
- Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 54.9% break avg.
- Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Justin Boulais makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Sebastian Dominko makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Justin Boulais | Sebastian Dominko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.8 | 10.6-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Theo Arribage Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Matis Roche Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Sebastian Dominko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Daniel Masur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Jiri Cizek M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/09 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Marko Bekeni M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Petr Michnev M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Ben Weintraub Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Clement Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Boulais vs Sebastian Dominko?
Our model gives 58% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.