Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 25/10, 22:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Hunter Heck
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Hunter Heck
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Hunter Heck
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
4-6 (W-L)
Hunter Heck
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1492 · Hunter Heck 1580
| Ozan Baris | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hunter Heck (rating 1492 vs 1580).
- Hunter Heck is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.8 | 12.1-7.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 73.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Hunter Heck?
Our model gives 55% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.