Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 25/10, 15:30
Prediction: Matthew Carroll vs Conor Brady
Team pages: Matthew Carroll · Conor Brady
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Carroll
Conor Brady
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Carroll
5-5 (W-L)
Conor Brady
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Carroll 1486 · Conor Brady 1521
| Matthew Carroll | Conor Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matthew Carroll | Conor Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.4 | 10.9-7.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Carroll
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Younes Jenkins M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Hazem Naw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Leo Deflandre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/08 | Henri Haupt M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 02/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Louis Bowden M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Sander Juuhl Sivertsen M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Aurel Ciocanu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Conor Brady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Billy Blaydes M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Toby Clarke M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jack McGary M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Roan Jones M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Samuel Constantinou M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Tyler Stice M25 Nottingham |
1-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 03/05 | Fred Barnett M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Carroll vs Conor Brady?
Our model gives 72% to Conor Brady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.