Tennis · W75 Glasgow · 25/10, 14:00
Prediction: Lara Savic vs Summer Yardley
Team pages: Summer Yardley
Prediction summary
Winner
Lara Savic
Summer Yardley
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lara Savic
4-6 (W-L)
Summer Yardley
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lara Savic 1495 · Summer Yardley 1379
| Lara Savic | Summer Yardley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lara Savic (rating 1495 vs 1379).
- Lara Savic is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Lara Savic makes many double faults (6.6/match).
- Note: Summer Yardley makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Lara Savic | Summer Yardley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.2 | 5.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 7.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lara Savic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Esther Adeshina W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Leticia Romanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Francesca Franchi UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Olivia Rook UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Emma Van Poppel UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Cara Korhonen UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Ava Williamson W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/04 | Lily Hutchings W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/01 | Carolin Raschdorf W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Summer Yardley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Stella Jurina W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Noemi La Cagnina W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Megan Mae Root W35 Reims |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 01/09 | Matylda Burylo W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Estella Jaeger UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Leticia Romanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Swasthika Arunkumar W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lara Savic vs Summer Yardley?
Our model gives 73% to Lara Savic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.