Prediction: Carmen Lopez Martinez vs Federica Urgesi
Team pages: Carmen Lopez Martinez · Federica Urgesi
Prediction summary
Winner
Carmen Lopez Martinez
Federica Urgesi
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Lopez Martinez
4-6 (W-L)
Federica Urgesi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carmen Lopez Martinez 1486 · Federica Urgesi 1513
| Carmen Lopez Martinez | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Federica Urgesi makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Carmen Lopez Martinez | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-9 | 12.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmen Lopez Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Miroslava Medvedeva W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Sofia Iakukhina W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W35 Baza |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Gabriela M Vancea W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Indianna Spink W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Sachia Vickery W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Luisa Hrda W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Momoko Kobori WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Federica Urgesi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Min Liu W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Iva Ivanova W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Andreya Glushkova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Iva Ivanova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmen Lopez Martinez vs Federica Urgesi?
Our model gives 71% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.