Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova
Team pages: Mary Stoiana · Katerina Siniakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Stoiana
Katerina Siniakova
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana
8-2 (W-L)
Katerina Siniakova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1570 · Katerina Siniakova 1502
| Mary Stoiana | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Stoiana (rating 1570 vs 1502).
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Mary Stoiana | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.9 | 10.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Julia Riera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Katerina Siniakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 03/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Magda Linette WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova?
Our model gives 57% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.