Prediction: Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger
Team pages: Ann Li · Lilli Tagger
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Lilli Tagger
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
4-6 (W-L)
Lilli Tagger
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1568 · Lilli Tagger 1508
| Ann Li | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ann Li (rating 1568 vs 1508).
- Lilli Tagger dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Ann Li | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.9 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tereza Valentova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger?
Our model gives 55% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.