Tennis · W35 Bakersfield · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Salma Drugdova vs Hanna Chang
Team pages: Salma Drugdova · Hanna Chang
Prediction summary
Winner
Salma Drugdova
Hanna Chang
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Salma Drugdova
7-3 (W-L)
Hanna Chang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salma Drugdova 1541 · Hanna Chang 1497
| Salma Drugdova | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salma Drugdova (rating 1541 vs 1497).
- Note: Salma Drugdova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Hanna Chang makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Salma Drugdova | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.2 | 8.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salma Drugdova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Brandy Walker W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Marianne Angel Gonzalez W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Lea Ma W35 Redding |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Christasha McNeil W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Maria Aytoyan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Carlota Moreno W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Darya Velikova W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Alexa Karatancheva W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Hanna Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nika Hurkacz W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Janae Preston W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Mary Stoiana W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alina Shcherbinina W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Kailey Evans W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Landisville |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 04/08 | Dalayna Hewitt W100 Landisville |
1-1 | 6-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salma Drugdova vs Hanna Chang?
Our model gives 61% to Hanna Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.