Tennis · Challenger Florence · 22/10, 11:30
Prediction: Filippo Romano vs Yanaki Milev
Team pages: Filippo Romano · Yanaki Milev
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Romano
Yanaki Milev
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Romano
4-6 (W-L)
Yanaki Milev
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Filippo Romano
1–0
Yanaki Milev
(1 last)
- 19 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Romano 1466 · Yanaki Milev 1599
| Filippo Romano | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1466 vs 1599).
- Yanaki Milev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Filippo Romano 1–0 Yanaki Milev (1).
Statistics
| Filippo Romano | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.2 | 13.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 68% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Filippo Romano 1 – 0 Yanaki Milev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Filippo Romano 1–0 Yanaki Milev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/25 ITF M25 Cattolica | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Romano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Yanaki Milev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Maximus Jones Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Romano vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 58% to Yanaki Milev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.